University of Southern California Womens Basketball

#9, Jazzy Davidson.

Overview

Many star players have come out of USC in recent seasons, with names like Juju Watkins and Jazzy Davidson escaping the sphere of USC alumn and entering mainstream. The USC womens basketcall team is a historically strong program, having won two NCAA championships. However, the last time we won was in 1984, so do we deserve that reputation? By looking through the last two decades of seaon stats, I hope to better understand the trajectory of our team's accomplishments and current rankings among other top schools.



Season stats, 2006-2026

Rk Season Conf W L W-L% W W-L% SRS SOS PS/G PA/G Coach(es)
1 2025-26 Big Ten 12 9 0.571 4 6 0.4 30.46 21.7 69 60.3 Lindsay Gottlieb (12-9)
2 2024-25 Big Ten 31 4 0.886 16 1 0.941 39.46 18.18 80.7 59.4 Lindsay Gottlieb (31-4)
3 2023-24 Pac-12 29 6 0.829 13 5 0.722 30.21 17.78 74.9 62.5 Lindsay Gottlieb (29-6)
4 2022-23 Pac-12 21 10 0.677 11 7 0.611 22.21 13.05 64.2 55.1 Lindsay Gottlieb (21-10)
5 2021-22 Pac-12 12 16 0.429 5 12 0.294 12.79 13.15 64.3 64.7 Lindsay Gottlieb (12-16)
6 2020-21 Pac-12 11 12 0.478 8 10 0.444 14.47 19.73 63.6 68.9 Mark Trakh (11-12)
7 2019-20 Pac-12 17 14 0.548 8 10 0.444 13.8 13.16 64.8 64.2 Mark Trakh (17-14)
8 2018-19 Pac-12 17 13 0.567 7 11 0.389 17.33 14.4 69.9 67 Mark Trakh (17-13)
9 2017-18 Pac-12 20 11 0.645 9 9 0.5 19.57 12.48 67.7 60.6 Mark Trakh (20-11)
10 2016-17 Pac-12 14 16 0.467 5 13 0.278 16.54 14.14 67.5 65.1 Cynthia Cooper (14-16)
11 2015-16 Pac-12 19 13 0.594 6 12 0.333 18.55 12.1 66.6 58.8 Cynthia Cooper (19-13)
12 2014-15 Pac-12 15 15 0.5 7 11 0.389 13.14 10.2 68 65 Cynthia Cooper (15-15)
13 2013-14 Pac-12 22 13 0.629 11 7 0.611 15.03 12.46 67.1 64.6 Cynthia Cooper (22-13)
14 2012-13 Pac-12 11 20 0.355 7 11 0.389 7.95 12.6 61.5 66.1 Michael Cooper (11-20)
15 2011-12 Pac-12 18 12 0.6 12 6 0.667 15.72 12.45 64 60.7 Michael Cooper (18-12)
16 2010-11 Pac-10 24 13 0.649 10 8 0.556 15.35 12.02 69.2 65.9 Michael Cooper (24-13)
17 2009-10 Pac-10 19 12 0.613 12 6 0.667 15.58 14.97 64.8 64.2 Michael Cooper (19-12)
18 2008-09 Pac-10 17 15 0.531 9 9 0.5 72.9 69.1 Mark Trakh (17-15)
19 2007-08 Pac-10 17 13 0.567 10 8 0.556 62.6 60.6 Mark Trakh (17-13)
20 2006-07 Pac-10 17 13 0.567 10 8 0.556 66.2 62.4 Mark Trakh (17-13)

"W-L%" - (Conference) Win-Loss Percentage
Out of all games played throughout their season, 1 (which can be split by conference and outside play), what percentage ended in a win for USC.
"SRS" - Simple Rating System
SRS is a team-evaluation metric that combines a team's average point differential (margin of victory) with its strength of schedule (SOS) to rank teams based on how many points better or worse they are than an average team (0.0) EX: A team with an SRS of 10 pts is 10pts better than the average team on a neutral court.
"SOS" - Strength of Schedule
The foundation of SOS is averaging the winning percentages of all opponents a team has faced, as well as counting factors such as home, away, and neutral courts to assess strength of teams played.
"PS/G" - Points Scored Per Game
The AVG points USC scored across all games.
"PA/G" - Points Allowed Per Game
The AVG points scored against USC across all games.



When analyzing the data table against each year's performances, some elements that signify a strong team are obvious to spot. These are the Wins, Losses, and W-L%. In each, the better the winning ratio, it is intuitive that a team would generally make it further in the end of year playoffs. But, by taking a closer look at the 2023-24 and 2024-25 seasons, USC womens most successful from the last two decades, the stat that seems most influential is made obvious.




Seasons Reaching the NCAA Elite-8

Rk Season Conf W L W-L% W W-L% SRS SOS PS/G PA/G Coach(es)
2 2024-25 Big Ten 31 4 0.886 16 1 0.941 39.46 18.18 80.7 59.4 Lindsay Gottlieb (31-4)
3 2023-24 Pac-12 29 6 0.829 13 5 0.722 30.21 17.78 74.9 62.5 Lindsay Gottlieb (29-6)



Though other stats fluctuated between the years with noticably little guarranteed effect on a given season's outcome, such as the Strength of Schedule or Points Allowed Per Game, the highlighted stat in these years stood out dramatically from the rest. No matter how tough their schedule was, how much their let the other team score against, them, USC's ability to rally and score back was the defining characteristic of a winning season. There was only one season with a Point Scored Per Game number above 80, and that was when Juju Watkins lead the team to the NCAA Elite-8.

Unfortunately, an ACL injury has taken Juju out for this year's system. As the season start seems to show, this blow to the offensive output is almost guarranteed to kill their chance of returning for a third Elite-8 championship run. While I still have hope for my team, and will always be at the games, using the data of the past to inform this season is showing a bleak future.




Influential Players 2006-2026

Jazzy
Jazzy Davidson.
Juju
Juju Watkins.
Aaliyah
Aaliyah Gayles.
Kadi
Kadi Sissoko.
Desiree
Desiree Caldwell.
Minyon
Minyon Moore.
Sadie
Sadie Edwards.
Juju
Juju Watkins.
Kristen
Kristen Simon.
Cassie
Cassie Harberts.